Abstract
The emergence of Salafi Takfiri groups as unofficial actors has added to the uncertainty surrounding the future of the West Asian region and its forms of conflict. Many questions and ambiguities surrounding the prospects of the West Asia region in the light of the existence of terrorist Takfiri groups ...
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The emergence of Salafi Takfiri groups as unofficial actors has added to the uncertainty surrounding the future of the West Asian region and its forms of conflict. Many questions and ambiguities surrounding the prospects of the West Asia region in the light of the existence of terrorist Takfiri groups and the future of the conflicts and crises of the region can take place at the expense of these groups from the stage of equations. In the present study, we have used scenarios (desirable, probable, and possible) using future research techniques, including the process of research (quality analysis of the process), and the analysis of the propulsion, as forces of change and through the interaction of trends and drivers. The extracted scenarios are as follows: a) Desirable scenarios: 1. The first favorable scenario: the total destruction of takfiri groups and the formation of democratic regimes in conflict-stricken countries based on the division of power model; 2. The second best scenario: the temporary repression of Takfiri groups and the rule of the republican rule model (Presidential Bashar al-Assad's presence); (b) Possible scenarios: 1. Possible scenario: Takfiri withdrawal from the formation of a government; but the internal division of power among ethnic groups and religions; 2. The probable scenario II: the disintegration of Syria; Iraq, Libya and other countries involved in the crisis and the formation of the game New expensive in the field of regional equilibrium (Kurdish state formation in the region); (c) Possible scenario: advancing Takfiri forces claiming the Islamic state and conquering more territories.
Seyed Shamseddin Sadeghi; Samira Moradi
Abstract
After the Cold war, Islamic Republic of Iran took advantage of “tendency toward east” as an initiative for foreign policy in order to tackle structural pressures. In the post- sanction era Iran tries hard to face the global monopolar system to ensure preservation of its political objectives. ...
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After the Cold war, Islamic Republic of Iran took advantage of “tendency toward east” as an initiative for foreign policy in order to tackle structural pressures. In the post- sanction era Iran tries hard to face the global monopolar system to ensure preservation of its political objectives. Although over the past two decades, the dynamics of Iran-Russia relations have seemed unstable and, to a certain extent, unpredictable for other players in the international arena; Iran's foreign policy got attracted to Russia due to its new hegemonic power in international system. In fact, Russia is going to be more powerful in different economic, political and military aspects, and Iran tries to ensure its national interests in cooperation with this rising power. Thus, this research aims to analyze the possibility of this kind of alliance which can benefit both parts and it argues that Iran tries to reduce structural pressures through this alliance.
